Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.437607 0.512723 0.594718 0.690588 0.799314 0.918490 1.058698
2025-01-26 0.324005 0.426287 0.548874 0.705315 0.898218 1.126775 1.416394
2025-02-02 0.250691 0.364454 0.512023 0.714411 0.981260 1.317232 1.767779
2025-02-09 0.199617 0.317111 0.480438 0.718649 1.050806 1.490314 2.107160
2025-02-16 0.167200 0.287381 0.464881 0.737800 1.136708 1.686714 2.487858
2025-02-23 0.139545 0.258414 0.444205 0.744049 1.201343 1.855347 2.839563
2025-03-02 0.111300 0.222422 0.406311 0.717681 1.212658 1.945926 3.084219
2025-03-09 0.097259 0.207526 0.399071 0.736688 1.292052 2.138713 3.486341
2025-03-16 0.084355 0.191992 0.388017 0.747106 1.357242 2.312762 3.869468
2025-03-23 0.077609 0.186834 0.394005 0.786133 1.470779 2.567240 4.388202
2025-03-30 0.066188 0.169922 0.375955 0.780471 1.508334 2.702963 4.728889
2025-04-06 0.056098 0.153679 0.356616 0.769680 1.535032 2.821282 5.046710
2025-04-13 0.047620 0.139464 0.339609 0.761992 1.567694 2.953625 5.398831
2025-04-20 0.042367 0.131794 0.334976 0.777649 1.643739 3.163818 5.891105
2025-04-27 0.037354 0.123574 0.327894 0.787418 1.709266 3.359417 6.368878
2025-05-04 0.032676 0.115101 0.318897 0.791986 1.764783 3.540079 6.829723
2025-05-11 0.029608 0.110367 0.317744 0.812772 1.852891 3.783108 7.409291
2025-05-18 0.026138 0.103569 0.310591 0.819554 1.913385 3.978942 7.914913
2025-05-25 0.021453 0.091651 0.288786 0.790917 1.899482 4.036387 8.176865
2025-06-01 0.019567 0.088350 0.288532 0.811560 1.988573 4.290665 8.803884
2025-06-08 0.017520 0.083914 0.284551 0.822871 2.058555 4.511877 9.379821
2025-06-15 0.016777 0.084034 0.293100 0.865231 2.197916 4.873137 10.228402
2025-06-22 0.014522 0.077720 0.282468 0.859087 2.230903 5.028525 10.699798